Predictors of early neurological deterioration in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage: a systematic review and meta‑analysis

Wei Zhu1 · Jiehong Zhou2 · Buyun Ma2 · Chaofeng Fan1

Abstract

Background Early neurological deterioration, a common complication in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage, is associ- ated with poor outcomes. Despite the fact that the prevalence and predictors of early neurological impairment are widely addressed, few studies have consolidated these findings. This study aimed to systematically investigate the prevalence and predictors of early neurological deterioration.

Methods The PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, CIHNAL, and Web of Science databases were systematically searched for relevant studies from the inception to December 2023. The data were extracted using a predefined worksheet. Quality assessment was conducted using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale. Two reviewers independently performed the study selection, data extraction, and quality appraisal. The pooled effect size and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the STATA 17.0 software package.

Results In total, 32 studies and 5,014 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The prevalence of early neurological deterioration was 23% (95% CI 21–26%, p < 0.01). The initial NIHSS score (OR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.17, 1.30, p < 0.01), hema-toma volume (OR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.06, 1.09, p < 0.01), intraventricular hemorrhage (OR = 3.50, 95% CI 1.64, 7.47, p < 0.01), intraventricular extension (OR = 3.95, 95% CI 1.96, 7.99, p < 0.01), hematoma expansion (OR = 9.77, 95% CI 4.43, 17.40, p < 0.01), and computed tomographic angiography spot sign (OR = 5.77, 95% CI 1.53, 20.23, p = 0.01) were predictors of early neurological deterioration. The funnel plot and Egger’s test revealed significant publication bias (p < 0.001).

Conclusions This meta-analysis revealed a pooled prevalence of early neurological deterioration of 23% in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. The initial NIHSS score, hematoma volume, intraventricular hemorrhage, intraventricular expan- sion, hematoma expansion, and spot sign enhanced the probability of early neurological deterioration. These findings provide healthcare providers with an evidence-based basis for detecting and managing early neurological deterioration in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage.

Keywords Systematic review · Meta-analysis · Early neurological deterioration · Intracerebral hemorrhage · Predictors

GKB-NON-2024-00436